Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.003960 0.004331 0.004729 0.005189 0.005708 0.006276 0.006948
2025-10-26 0.003313 0.003826 0.004417 0.005152 0.006050 0.007121 0.008510
2025-11-02 0.002914 0.003486 0.004175 0.005076 0.006239 0.007712 0.009756
2025-11-09 0.002665 0.003277 0.004043 0.005086 0.006496 0.008376 0.011143
2025-11-16 0.002445 0.003075 0.003887 0.005031 0.006640 0.008881 0.012357
2025-11-23 0.002247 0.002881 0.003718 0.004930 0.006694 0.009249 0.013401
2025-11-30 0.002134 0.002786 0.003668 0.004984 0.006963 0.009946 0.015034
2025-12-07 0.002066 0.002746 0.003688 0.005133 0.007382 0.010911 0.017240
2025-12-14 0.001943 0.002619 0.003572 0.005068 0.007458 0.011334 0.018579
2025-12-21 0.001823 0.002486 0.003438 0.004961 0.007454 0.011615 0.019698
2025-12-28 0.001729 0.002387 0.003345 0.004907 0.007527 0.012032 0.021130
2026-01-04 0.001667 0.002328 0.003308 0.004938 0.007743 0.012719 0.023201
2026-01-11 0.001582 0.002234 0.003217 0.004883 0.007818 0.013190 0.024984
2026-01-18 0.001507 0.002153 0.003141 0.004848 0.007931 0.013751 0.027098
2026-01-25 0.001432 0.002066 0.003049 0.004777 0.007967 0.014165 0.028964
2026-02-01 0.001379 0.002011 0.003006 0.004786 0.008153 0.014902 0.031757
2026-02-08 0.001320 0.001942 0.002933 0.004736 0.008217 0.015393 0.034052
2026-02-15 0.001256 0.001863 0.002840 0.004642 0.008187 0.015674 0.035862
2026-02-22 0.001224 0.001832 0.002826 0.004692 0.008448 0.016637 0.039795
2026-03-01 0.001208 0.001829 0.002859 0.004830 0.008906 0.018124 0.045698
2026-03-08 0.001161 0.001770 0.002790 0.004770 0.008935 0.018592 0.048622
2026-03-15 0.001110 0.001703 0.002705 0.004671 0.008872 0.018823 0.050848
2026-03-22 0.001070 0.001653 0.002647 0.004621 0.008912 0.019324 0.054155